Stock Analysis

We Think AdderaCare (STO:ADDERA) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

OM:ADDERA
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that AdderaCare AB (STO:ADDERA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for AdderaCare

What Is AdderaCare's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 AdderaCare had kr39.7m of debt, an increase on kr29.1m, over one year. However, it also had kr14.8m in cash, and so its net debt is kr24.8m.

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OM:ADDERA Debt to Equity History June 18th 2022

How Strong Is AdderaCare's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AdderaCare had liabilities of kr93.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of kr36.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr14.8m in cash and kr30.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr85.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of kr87.0m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.4 and interest cover of 4.5 times, it seems to us that AdderaCare is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Pleasingly, AdderaCare is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 269% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if AdderaCare can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, AdderaCare actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Happily, AdderaCare's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its level of total liabilities has the opposite effect. It's also worth noting that AdderaCare is in the Medical Equipment industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. All these things considered, it appears that AdderaCare can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for AdderaCare (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.