Swelling losses haven't held back gains for Glycorex Transplantation (NGM:GTAB B) shareholders since they're up 145% over 3 years

By
Simply Wall St
Published
February 24, 2022
NGM:GTAB B
Source: Shutterstock

The last three months have been tough on Glycorex Transplantation AB (publ) (NGM:GTAB B) shareholders, who have seen the share price decline a rather worrying 30%. But in three years the returns have been great. In three years the stock price has launched 145% higher: a great result. After a run like that some may not be surprised to see prices moderate. The thing to consider is whether the underlying business is doing well enough to support the current price.

In light of the stock dropping 11% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.

Check out our latest analysis for Glycorex Transplantation

Glycorex Transplantation wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

In the last 3 years Glycorex Transplantation saw its revenue shrink by 12% per year. So we wouldn't have expected the share price to gain 35% per year, but it has. It's a good reminder that expectations about the future, not the past history, always impact share prices.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NGM:GTAB B Earnings and Revenue Growth February 24th 2022

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Glycorex Transplantation had a tough year, with a total loss of 32%, against a market gain of about 7.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 16%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Glycorex Transplantation (1 is concerning) that you should be aware of.

But note: Glycorex Transplantation may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SE exchanges.

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