Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Premium Snacks Nordic AB (publ) (STO:SNX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Premium Snacks Nordic
What Is Premium Snacks Nordic's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Premium Snacks Nordic had kr38.6m of debt in September 2024, down from kr43.0m, one year before. However, it also had kr1.85m in cash, and so its net debt is kr36.7m.
A Look At Premium Snacks Nordic's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Premium Snacks Nordic had liabilities of kr86.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr12.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr1.85m in cash and kr42.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr54.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Premium Snacks Nordic is worth kr247.8m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Premium Snacks Nordic's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 5.6 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Pleasingly, Premium Snacks Nordic is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 404% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Premium Snacks Nordic's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Premium Snacks Nordic actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
Happily, Premium Snacks Nordic's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Premium Snacks Nordic's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Premium Snacks Nordic you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:SNX
Premium Snacks Nordic
Engages in the development, manufacture, sale, import, and export of snacks under the Exotic Snacks and Gårdschips brand names in Sweden and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.