Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Premium Snacks Nordic AB (publ) (NGM:SNX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Premium Snacks Nordic
What Is Premium Snacks Nordic's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Premium Snacks Nordic had debt of kr56.2m, up from kr38.5m in one year. However, it also had kr27.6m in cash, and so its net debt is kr28.7m.
How Healthy Is Premium Snacks Nordic's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Premium Snacks Nordic had liabilities of kr72.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of kr31.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr27.6m as well as receivables valued at kr30.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr45.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Premium Snacks Nordic has a market capitalization of kr130.5m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Even though Premium Snacks Nordic's debt is only 1.7, its interest cover is really very low at 2.3. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. It is well worth noting that Premium Snacks Nordic's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 53% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Premium Snacks Nordic's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Premium Snacks Nordic actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
The good news is that Premium Snacks Nordic's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its interest cover has the opposite effect. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Premium Snacks Nordic is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Premium Snacks Nordic you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About OM:SNX
Premium Snacks Nordic
Engages in the development, manufacture, sale, import, and export of snacks under the Exotic Snacks and Gårdschips brand names in Sweden and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.