Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Concordia Maritime AB (publ) (STO:CCOR B) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Concordia Maritime
What Is Concordia Maritime's Debt?
As you can see below, Concordia Maritime had kr976.7m of debt at March 2022, down from kr1.69b a year prior. However, it does have kr19.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr956.8m.
A Look At Concordia Maritime's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Concordia Maritime had liabilities of kr700.2m due within a year, and liabilities of kr976.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr19.9m and kr132.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total kr1.52b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the kr253.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Concordia Maritime would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Concordia Maritime will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Concordia Maritime had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 24%, to kr649m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Concordia Maritime's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable kr226m at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it burned through kr73m in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock, and we're worried its share price could sink faster than than a dingy with a great white shark attacking it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Concordia Maritime (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:CCOR B
Concordia Maritime
Concordia Maritime AB (publ) operates as a tanker shipping company in Sweden and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.