Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Kindred Group plc (STO:KIND SDB) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Kindred Group
What Is Kindred Group's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2022 Kindred Group had debt of UK£135.5m, up from UK£111.6m in one year. However, it does have UK£256.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of UK£120.5m.
How Strong Is Kindred Group's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Kindred Group had liabilities of UK£428.5m due within a year, and liabilities of UK£197.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£256.0m as well as receivables valued at UK£137.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£232.9m.
Of course, Kindred Group has a market capitalization of UK£1.96b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Kindred Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Kindred Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 50% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kindred Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Kindred Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Kindred Group recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 95% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
Although Kindred Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of UK£120.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of UK£91m, being 95% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Kindred Group's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Kindred Group that you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:KIND SDB
Kindred Group
Operates an online gambling business in Europe, North America, and Australia.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.