Stock Analysis

Cedergrenska AB (publ)'s (STO:CEDER) Shares Leap 26% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

OM:CEDER
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The Cedergrenska AB (publ) (STO:CEDER) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 35%.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Cedergrenska's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Services industry in Sweden, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Cedergrenska

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:CEDER Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 23rd 2024

What Does Cedergrenska's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Cedergrenska has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this good revenue growth might only be parallel to the broader industry in the near future. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Cedergrenska's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Cedergrenska's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cedergrenska would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.1%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 49% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 1.4% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Cedergrenska is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Cedergrenska's P/S

Cedergrenska appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We didn't quite envision Cedergrenska's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Cedergrenska (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cedergrenska is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.