Stock Analysis

Thule Group (STO:THULE) Is Reducing Its Dividend To SEK4.60

OM:THULE
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Thule Group AB (publ)'s (STO:THULE) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to SEK4.60 on the 5th of May. The yield is still above the industry average at 4.1%.

Check out our latest analysis for Thule Group

Thule Group Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Thule Group was paying out quite a large proportion of both earnings and cash flow, with the dividend being 556% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 0.9%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 111%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
OM:THULE Historic Dividend February 13th 2023

Thule Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Thule Group has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. The annual payment during the last 8 years was SEK2.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was SEK9.20. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21% a year over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

Thule Group's Dividend Might Lack Growth

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Thule Group has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 12% per annum. The payout ratio is very much on the higher end, which could mean that the growth rate will slow down in the future, and that could flow through to the dividend as well.

Thule Group's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Thule Group that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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