Stock Analysis

Slammed 26% Northbaze Group AB (publ) (STO:NBZ) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

OM:NBZ
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Northbaze Group AB (publ) (STO:NBZ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 50% in that time.

After such a large drop in price, when close to half the companies operating in Sweden's Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.9x, you may consider Northbaze Group as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Northbaze Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:NBZ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 7th 2024

How Has Northbaze Group Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Northbaze Group as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. Perhaps the market isn't expecting future revenue performance to improve, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Northbaze Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Northbaze Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

Northbaze Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 14% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 30% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.9% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that Northbaze Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Northbaze Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of Northbaze Group's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

To us, it seems Northbaze Group currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Northbaze Group you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Northbaze Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.