Stock Analysis

Is Northbaze Group (STO:NBZ) A Risky Investment?

OM:NBZ
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Northbaze Group AB (publ) (STO:NBZ) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Northbaze Group

What Is Northbaze Group's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Northbaze Group had kr32.9m of debt, an increase on kr29.9m, over one year. On the flip side, it has kr12.4m in cash leading to net debt of about kr20.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:NBZ Debt to Equity History August 21st 2023

How Strong Is Northbaze Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Northbaze Group had liabilities of kr59.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr20.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr12.4m in cash and kr28.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr39.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Northbaze Group has a market capitalization of kr84.8m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Northbaze Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Northbaze Group reported revenue of kr164m, which is a gain of 28%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Northbaze Group still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping kr17m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through kr3.9m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Northbaze Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Northbaze Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.