Stock Analysis

Further Upside For Embellence Group AB (publ) (STO:EMBELL) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 25% Bounce

OM:EMBELL
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Embellence Group AB (publ) (STO:EMBELL) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 41%.

Although its price has surged higher, Embellence Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.7x, since almost half of all companies in Sweden have P/E ratios greater than 24x and even P/E's higher than 40x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Embellence Group's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Embellence Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:EMBELL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 14th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Embellence Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Embellence Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.2% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 27% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 19% per year during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Embellence Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Embellence Group's P/E close to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Embellence Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Embellence Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Embellence Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.