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We're Not Very Worried About Scandinavian Enviro Systems' (STO:SES) Cash Burn Rate
Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Scandinavian Enviro Systems (STO:SES) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
Check out our latest analysis for Scandinavian Enviro Systems
When Might Scandinavian Enviro Systems Run Out Of Money?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. Scandinavian Enviro Systems has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the kr101m in cash it held at March 2022. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through kr68m. That means it had a cash runway of around 18 months as of March 2022. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Is Scandinavian Enviro Systems' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Whilst it's great to see that Scandinavian Enviro Systems has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced kr4.4m, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 48%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. Scandinavian Enviro Systems makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.
Can Scandinavian Enviro Systems Raise More Cash Easily?
Given its cash burn trajectory, Scandinavian Enviro Systems shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
Scandinavian Enviro Systems has a market capitalisation of kr1.1b and burnt through kr68m last year, which is 6.4% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.
So, Should We Worry About Scandinavian Enviro Systems' Cash Burn?
On this analysis of Scandinavian Enviro Systems' cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Scandinavian Enviro Systems' situation. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Scandinavian Enviro Systems (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.
Of course Scandinavian Enviro Systems may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:SES
Scandinavian Enviro Systems
Develops, builds, owns, and operates plants for material recovery of resources from used tires in Sweden and internationally.
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