Stock Analysis

Saxlund Group's (STO:SAXG) Shareholders Are Down 50% On Their Investment Over The Past Three Years.

OM:SAXG
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This week we saw the Saxlund Group AB (publ) (STO:SAXG) share price climb by 24%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 83% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.

Check out our latest analysis for Saxlund Group

Saxlund Group isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over the last three years, Saxlund Group's revenue dropped 26% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. The swift share price decline at an annual compound rate of 22%, reflects this weak fundamental performance. Never forget that loss making companies with falling revenue can and do cause losses for everyday investors. There is a good reason that investors often describe buying a sharply falling stock price as 'trying to catch a falling knife'. Think about it.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:SAXG Earnings and Revenue Growth December 15th 2020

Take a more thorough look at Saxlund Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Saxlund Group's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. We note that Saxlund Group's TSR, at -50% is higher than its share price return of -83%. When you consider it hasn't been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Saxlund Group shareholders have gained 44% (in total) over the last year. That certainly beats the loss of about 14% per year over three years. We're generally cautious about putting too much weigh on shorter term data, but the recent improvement is definitely a positive. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Saxlund Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Saxlund Group you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SE exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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