Norva24 Group Valuation

Is NORVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NORVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NORVA (SEK27.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK45.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NORVA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NORVA?

Key metric: As NORVA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NORVA. This is calculated by dividing NORVA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NORVA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.6x
EarningsNOK 194.30m
Market CapNOK 5.18b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NORVA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NORVA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.3x
GREEN Green Landscaping Group
17.5x20.6%SEK 4.0b
SDIP B Sdiptech
22.7x21.7%SEK 9.1b
SVIK Studsvik
32.9x45.6%SEK 966.5m
SES Scandinavian Enviro Systems
24.3x-83.2%SEK 1.4b
NORVA Norva24 Group
26.6x21.2%SEK 5.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NORVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NORVA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NORVA 26.6xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NORVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NORVA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NORVA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.6x
Fair PE Ratio22.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NORVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NORVA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 27.75
SEK 35.40
+27.6%
6.6%SEK 37.00SEK 31.00n/a5
Dec ’25SEK 28.70
SEK 35.40
+23.3%
6.6%SEK 37.00SEK 31.00n/a5
Nov ’25SEK 31.20
SEK 37.00
+18.6%
4.5%SEK 39.00SEK 34.00n/a5
Oct ’25SEK 29.10
SEK 37.00
+27.1%
4.5%SEK 39.00SEK 34.00n/a5
Sep ’25SEK 31.25
SEK 36.80
+17.8%
4.7%SEK 39.00SEK 34.00n/a5
Aug ’25SEK 30.65
SEK 35.00
+14.2%
8.7%SEK 38.00SEK 30.00n/a5
Jul ’25SEK 29.60
SEK 34.25
+15.7%
8.6%SEK 37.00SEK 30.00n/a4
Jun ’25SEK 29.95
SEK 33.75
+12.7%
9.7%SEK 37.00SEK 30.00n/a4
May ’25SEK 25.70
SEK 32.75
+27.4%
9.3%SEK 37.00SEK 29.00n/a4
Apr ’25SEK 25.50
SEK 32.75
+28.4%
9.3%SEK 37.00SEK 29.00n/a4
Mar ’25SEK 25.65
SEK 32.75
+27.7%
9.3%SEK 37.00SEK 29.00n/a4
Feb ’25SEK 27.90
SEK 31.50
+12.9%
10.2%SEK 35.00SEK 27.00n/a4
Jan ’25SEK 23.70
SEK 31.50
+32.9%
10.2%SEK 35.00SEK 27.00n/a4
Dec ’24SEK 22.95
SEK 31.50
+37.3%
10.2%SEK 35.00SEK 27.00SEK 28.704
Nov ’24SEK 18.36
SEK 29.00
+58.0%
15.6%SEK 34.00SEK 24.00SEK 31.204
Oct ’24SEK 19.22
SEK 29.00
+50.9%
15.6%SEK 34.00SEK 24.00SEK 29.104
Sep ’24SEK 24.25
SEK 30.00
+23.7%
12.2%SEK 34.00SEK 25.00SEK 31.254
Aug ’24SEK 26.55
SEK 34.50
+29.9%
13.7%SEK 42.00SEK 30.00SEK 30.654
Jul ’24SEK 24.90
SEK 34.50
+38.6%
13.7%SEK 42.00SEK 30.00SEK 29.604
Jun ’24SEK 25.75
SEK 35.25
+36.9%
12.3%SEK 42.00SEK 30.00SEK 29.954
May ’24SEK 28.10
SEK 36.00
+28.1%
9.8%SEK 42.00SEK 33.00SEK 25.704
Apr ’24SEK 29.00
SEK 36.00
+24.1%
9.8%SEK 42.00SEK 33.00SEK 25.504
Mar ’24SEK 31.00
SEK 38.25
+23.4%
9.3%SEK 42.00SEK 33.00SEK 25.654
Feb ’24SEK 35.68
SEK 38.00
+6.5%
4.9%SEK 41.00SEK 36.00SEK 27.904
Jan ’24SEK 33.80
SEK 38.00
+12.4%
4.9%SEK 41.00SEK 36.00SEK 23.704
Dec ’23SEK 32.62
SEK 37.00
+13.4%
6.0%SEK 40.00SEK 34.00SEK 22.954

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 21:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Norva24 Group AB (Publ) is covered by 8 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Simon JonssonBerenberg
Jenna XuBerenberg
Erik GranströmCarnegie Investment Bank AB