The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Loomis AB (publ) (STO:LOOMIS) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Loomis
What Is Loomis's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Loomis had kr7.44b of debt, an increase on kr6.88b, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds kr9.75b in cash, so it actually has kr2.31b net cash.
A Look At Loomis' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Loomis had liabilities of kr13.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of kr11.0b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr9.75b as well as receivables valued at kr4.25b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr10.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Loomis is worth kr20.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Loomis boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
On top of that, Loomis grew its EBIT by 35% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Loomis's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Loomis may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Loomis recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 82% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing Up
While Loomis does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of kr2.31b. The cherry on top was that in converted 82% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in kr2.5b. So we don't think Loomis's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Loomis you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:LOOMIS
Loomis
Provides solutions for the distribution, payments, handling, storage, and recycling of cash and other valuables.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.