Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that BTS Group AB (publ) (STO:BTS B) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does BTS Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2024 BTS Group had debt of kr421.0m, up from kr302.3m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds kr703.3m in cash, so it actually has kr282.4m net cash.
A Look At BTS Group's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that BTS Group had liabilities of kr1.08b falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr619.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr703.3m in cash and kr726.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr268.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded BTS Group shares are worth a total of kr4.57b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, BTS Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
See our latest analysis for BTS Group
Fortunately, BTS Group grew its EBIT by 3.5% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine BTS Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. BTS Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, BTS Group recorded free cash flow worth 70% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that BTS Group has kr282.4m in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 70% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in kr356m. So we don't think BTS Group's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that BTS Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:BTS B
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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