The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that SolTech Energy Sweden AB (publ) (STO:SOLT) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for SolTech Energy Sweden
How Much Debt Does SolTech Energy Sweden Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 SolTech Energy Sweden had debt of kr885.2m, up from kr718.4m in one year. However, it does have kr195.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr689.9m.
A Look At SolTech Energy Sweden's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that SolTech Energy Sweden had liabilities of kr188.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr1.00b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr195.3m as well as receivables valued at kr140.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr856.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since SolTech Energy Sweden has a market capitalization of kr2.88b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
SolTech Energy Sweden shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.29 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, SolTech Energy Sweden saw its EBIT tank 26% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SolTech Energy Sweden will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last two years, SolTech Energy Sweden burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both SolTech Energy Sweden's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that SolTech Energy Sweden's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for SolTech Energy Sweden (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About OM:SOLT
SolTech Energy Sweden
Develops, sells, and installs energy and solar cell solutions in Sweden and China.
Excellent balance sheet low.