Stock Analysis

Analyst Forecasts For MilDef Group AB (publ) (STO:MILDEF) Are Surging Higher

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OM:MILDEF

Celebrations may be in order for MilDef Group AB (publ) (STO:MILDEF) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. The consensus statutory numbers for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) increased, with their view clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects. The market seems to be pricing in some improvement in the business too, with the stock up 5.8% over the past week, closing at kr121. Could this big upgrade push the stock even higher?

Following the upgrade, the most recent consensus for MilDef Group from its dual analysts is for revenues of kr2.3b in 2025 which, if met, would be a huge 102% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 215% to kr4.32. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr1.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr3.56 in 2025. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for MilDef Group

OM:MILDEF Earnings and Revenue Growth December 4th 2024

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting MilDef Group's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 76% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 29% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 16% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that MilDef Group is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for next year. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for next year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. With a serious upgrade to expectations, it might be time to take another look at MilDef Group.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.