Stock Analysis

We Think Alelion Energy Systems (STO:ALELIO) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

OM:ALELIO
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Alelion Energy Systems AB (publ) (STO:ALELIO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Alelion Energy Systems

What Is Alelion Energy Systems's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Alelion Energy Systems had debt of kr35.6m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from kr37.7m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr24.0m, its net debt is less, at about kr11.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:ALELIO Debt to Equity History March 11th 2021

How Strong Is Alelion Energy Systems' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Alelion Energy Systems had liabilities of kr21.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr38.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had kr24.0m in cash and kr7.08m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr28.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Alelion Energy Systems has a market capitalization of kr158.5m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Alelion Energy Systems's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Alelion Energy Systems had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 78%, to kr26m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Alelion Energy Systems's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable kr73m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through kr58m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Alelion Energy Systems (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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