Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At AGES Industri (STO:AGES B)
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating AGES Industri (STO:AGES B), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for AGES Industri, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.093 = kr52m ÷ (kr1.0b - kr446m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
So, AGES Industri has an ROCE of 9.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 13%.
Check out the opportunities and risks within the SE Machinery industry.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how AGES Industri has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
So How Is AGES Industri's ROCE Trending?
We've noticed that although returns on capital are flat over the last five years, the amount of capital employed in the business has fallen 21% in that same period. This indicates to us that assets are being sold and thus the business is likely shrinking, which you'll remember isn't the typical ingredients for an up-and-coming multi-bagger. In addition to that, since the ROCE doesn't scream "quality" at 9.3%, it's hard to get excited about these developments.
Another point to note, we noticed the company has increased current liabilities over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 44% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than9.3% because total capital employed would be higher.The 9.3% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 44% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. So with current liabilities at such high levels, this effectively means the likes of suppliers or short-term creditors are funding a meaningful part of the business, which in some instances can bring some risks.
The Bottom Line
Overall, we're not ecstatic to see AGES Industri reducing the amount of capital it employs in the business. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 47% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with AGES Industri (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:AGES B
AGES Industri
Engages in the die casting, machining, tooling, welding, and assembly of precision components.
Moderate and good value.