Stock Analysis

Would Aerowash (NGM:AERW B) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

NGM:AERW B
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Aerowash AB (publ) (NGM:AERW B) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Aerowash

What Is Aerowash's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 Aerowash had debt of kr18.5m, up from kr3.57m in one year. On the flip side, it has kr1.25m in cash leading to net debt of about kr17.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NGM:AERW B Debt to Equity History June 17th 2021

How Strong Is Aerowash's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Aerowash had liabilities of kr17.3m due within a year, and liabilities of kr13.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr1.25m and kr4.17m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total kr25.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of kr38.6m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aerowash will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Aerowash had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 61%, to kr12m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Aerowash's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping kr8.0m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through kr16m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 5 warning signs with Aerowash (at least 3 which don't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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