Stock Analysis

Does Aerowash (NGM:AERW B) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NGM:AERW B
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Aerowash AB (publ) (NGM:AERW B) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Aerowash

What Is Aerowash's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Aerowash had kr17.3m of debt, an increase on kr1.02m, over one year. However, it also had kr1.74m in cash, and so its net debt is kr15.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NGM:AERW B Debt to Equity History March 3rd 2021

A Look At Aerowash's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Aerowash had liabilities of kr14.5m due within a year, and liabilities of kr12.8m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr1.74m in cash and kr4.63m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr21.0m.

This deficit isn't so bad because Aerowash is worth kr62.7m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aerowash will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Aerowash wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 45%, to kr26m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Aerowash's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at kr3.8m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled kr22m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Aerowash you should be aware of, and 3 of them are concerning.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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