Saudi Electricity Valuation
Is 5110 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 5110 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 5110 (SAR16) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR4.65)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 5110 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5110?
Key metric: As 5110 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 5110's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.8x |
| Sales | ر.س88.67b |
| Market Cap | ر.س66.42b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.4x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 5.6x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 5110's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 11.9x | ||
2082 ACWA Power | 38.5x | 19.5% | ر.س241.2b |
TENAGA Tenaga Nasional Berhad | 1.2x | 0.09% | RM 78.8b |
TRN Terna | 4.5x | 5.6% | €15.9b |
H Hydro One | 3.4x | 3.2% | CA$28.9b |
5110 Saudi Electricity | 0.8x | 3.7% | ر.س66.4b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 5110 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (11.9x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does 5110's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Electric Utilities Industry?
| 16 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 5110 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the Asian Electric Utilities industry average (1x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 5110's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.8x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 4.3x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 5110 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س16.00 | ر.س19.73 +23.3% | 12.4% | ر.س23.20 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’26 | ر.س16.64 | ر.س19.40 +16.6% | 10.2% | ر.س22.20 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’26 | ر.س17.02 | ر.س19.40 +14.0% | 10.2% | ر.س22.20 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jan ’26 | ر.س17.00 | ر.س19.40 +14.1% | 10.2% | ر.س22.20 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’25 | ر.س16.66 | ر.س20.07 +20.4% | 8.5% | ر.س22.20 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’25 | ر.س16.40 | ر.س19.07 +16.3% | 4.3% | ر.س20.00 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’25 | ر.س16.80 | ر.س19.07 +13.5% | 4.3% | ر.س20.00 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’25 | ر.س17.26 | ر.س19.07 +10.5% | 4.3% | ر.س20.00 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’25 | ر.س17.10 | ر.س19.83 +16.0% | 8.3% | ر.س22.00 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’25 | ر.س16.46 | ر.س19.50 +18.5% | 6.3% | ر.س21.00 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’25 | ر.س16.72 | ر.س19.80 +18.4% | 6.5% | ر.س21.00 | ر.س18.00 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’25 | ر.س18.36 | ر.س22.13 +20.6% | 9.2% | ر.س25.00 | ر.س20.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س19.70 | ر.س22.13 +12.4% | 9.2% | ر.س25.00 | ر.س20.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س20.00 | ر.س20.55 +2.8% | 2.2% | ر.س21.00 | ر.س20.10 | ر.س16.64 | 2 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س18.72 | ر.س20.55 +9.8% | 2.2% | ر.س21.00 | ر.س20.10 | ر.س17.02 | 2 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س19.12 | ر.س20.30 +6.2% | 3.4% | ر.س21.00 | ر.س19.60 | ر.س17.00 | 2 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س18.06 | ر.س20.30 +12.4% | 3.4% | ر.س21.00 | ر.س19.60 | ر.س16.66 | 2 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س17.70 | ر.س24.10 +36.2% | 12.0% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س21.20 | ر.س16.40 | 2 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س19.00 | ر.س24.10 +26.8% | 12.0% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س21.20 | ر.س16.80 | 2 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س20.70 | ر.س24.10 +16.4% | 12.0% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س21.20 | ر.س17.26 | 2 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س22.10 | ر.س23.90 +8.1% | 13.0% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س20.80 | ر.س17.10 | 2 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س23.90 0% | 13.0% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س20.80 | ر.س16.46 | 2 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س21.20 | ر.س23.90 +12.7% | 13.0% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س20.80 | ر.س16.72 | 2 |
| May ’24 | ر.س24.32 | ر.س25.45 +4.6% | 6.1% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س23.90 | ر.س18.36 | 2 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س23.36 | ر.س25.45 +8.9% | 6.1% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س23.90 | ر.س19.70 | 2 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س21.78 | ر.س25.40 +16.6% | 6.3% | ر.س27.00 | ر.س23.80 | ر.س20.00 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/03/18 19:38 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/03/18 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Saudi Electricity Company is covered by 14 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Salma Kharbachi | AlphaMena |
| Kais Kriaa | AlphaMena |
| Soha Saniour | Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L. |