Terna Valuation

Is TRN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRN (€7.61) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€7.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRN?

Key metric: As TRN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TRN. This is calculated by dividing TRN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TRN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.5x
Earnings€1.05b
Market Cap€15.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TRN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TRN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.1x
ENEL Enel
12.8x4.9%€69.0b
SRG Snam
13.7x4.7%€14.3b
EVISO eVISO
32.5x26.4%€158.5m
EDNR Edison
21.6xn/a€8.8b
TRN Terna
14.5x1.5%€15.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TRN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the peer average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TRN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TRN 14.5xIndustry Avg. 12.6xNo. of Companies11PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TRN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (12.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.5x
Fair PE Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TRN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.61
€8.34
+9.6%
6.9%€9.60€7.60n/a18
Dec ’25€8.01
€8.33
+4.0%
6.5%€9.60€7.60n/a18
Nov ’25€8.00
€8.31
+3.9%
6.6%€9.60€7.30n/a17
Oct ’25€8.12
€8.26
+1.7%
6.7%€9.60€7.30n/a17
Sep ’25€7.86
€8.21
+4.5%
6.2%€9.40€7.30n/a17
Aug ’25€7.52
€8.20
+9.1%
6.3%€9.40€7.30n/a17
Jul ’25€7.30
€8.22
+12.5%
6.4%€9.40€7.30n/a17
Jun ’25€7.72
€8.12
+5.2%
7.3%€9.40€7.00n/a18
May ’25€7.52
€8.04
+6.8%
9.6%€9.40€6.00n/a18
Apr ’25€7.66
€8.03
+4.8%
9.7%€9.30€6.00n/a18
Mar ’25€7.26
€7.72
+6.3%
9.3%€9.30€6.00n/a18
Feb ’25€7.72
€7.71
-0.2%
9.0%€9.10€6.00n/a18
Jan ’25€7.55
€7.63
+1.0%
9.2%€9.10€6.00n/a17
Dec ’24€7.43
€7.61
+2.4%
9.4%€9.10€6.00€8.0117
Nov ’24€7.32
€7.66
+4.6%
9.6%€9.10€6.00€8.0017
Oct ’24€7.13
€7.71
+8.1%
9.7%€9.10€6.00€8.1217
Sep ’24€7.61
€7.61
+0.09%
9.8%€8.50€6.00€7.8617
Aug ’24€7.67
€7.61
-0.8%
10.1%€8.50€6.00€7.5217
Jul ’24€7.81
€7.62
-2.4%
10.2%€8.60€6.00€7.3017
Jun ’24€7.83
€7.61
-2.9%
10.2%€8.60€6.00€7.7217
May ’24€7.86
€7.45
-5.2%
10.1%€8.50€6.00€7.5215
Apr ’24€7.57
€7.37
-2.6%
9.6%€8.50€6.00€7.6616
Mar ’24€6.96
€7.25
+4.1%
9.1%€8.20€6.00€7.2616
Feb ’24€7.28
€7.20
-1.1%
9.1%€8.20€6.00€7.7216
Jan ’24€6.90
€7.13
+3.3%
8.9%€8.10€6.00€7.5516
Dec ’23€7.45
€7.07
-5.1%
10.5%€8.10€5.60€7.4316

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 04:21
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Terna S.p.A. is covered by 37 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Francesco SalaBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Claudia IntrovigneBanca Leonardo
Virginia Sanz de Madrid GrossBanco Santander