Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Saudi Automotive Services Company's (TADAWUL:4050) Price

SASE:4050
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 73.4x Saudi Automotive Services Company (TADAWUL:4050) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Saudi Arabia have P/E ratios under 28x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

For instance, Saudi Automotive Services' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Saudi Automotive Services

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SASE:4050 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 20th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Saudi Automotive Services, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Saudi Automotive Services' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Saudi Automotive Services' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 11%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 45% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 19% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Saudi Automotive Services is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Saudi Automotive Services currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Saudi Automotive Services (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Saudi Automotive Services' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.