The board of Saudi Cement Company (TADAWUL:3030) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ر.س1.50 per share on the 16th of June. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 5.2%.
Check out our latest analysis for Saudi Cement
Saudi Cement Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 125% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 72%. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.
The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 12.1%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 98%, which probably can't continue putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2011, the first annual payment was ر.س4.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ر.س3.50. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 1.3% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Saudi Cement's earnings per share has shrunk at 14% a year over the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Saudi Cement that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.
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About SASE:3030
Saudi Cement
Manufactures and sells cement and related products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.