Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Arabian Cement Company (TADAWUL:3010) For Its Upcoming Dividend

By
Simply Wall St
Published
April 14, 2022
SASE:3010
Source: Shutterstock

Readers hoping to buy Arabian Cement Company (TADAWUL:3010) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Accordingly, Arabian Cement investors that purchase the stock on or after the 18th of April will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 1st of January.

The company's next dividend payment will be ر.س1.50 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of ر.س3.00 per share. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Arabian Cement has a trailing yield of 7.0% on the current share price of SAR42.85. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Arabian Cement's dividend is reliable and sustainable. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

See our latest analysis for Arabian Cement

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Arabian Cement paid out 170% of profit in the past year, which we think is typically not sustainable unless there are mitigating characteristics such as unusually strong cash flow or a large cash balance. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Dividends consumed 57% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Arabian Cement fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SASE:3010 Historic Dividend April 14th 2022

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Arabian Cement's 20% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the last 10 years, Arabian Cement has lifted its dividend by approximately 6.5% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Arabian Cement is already paying out 170% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

Final Takeaway

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Arabian Cement? It's never fun to see a company's earnings per share in retreat. What's more, Arabian Cement is paying out a majority of its earnings and over half its free cash flow. It's hard to say if the business has the financial resources and time to turn things around without cutting the dividend. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

So if you're still interested in Arabian Cement despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. For example - Arabian Cement has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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