Stock Analysis

Arabian Cement (TADAWUL:3010) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

SASE:3010
Source: Shutterstock

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Arabian Cement (TADAWUL:3010), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Arabian Cement is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.064 = ر.س193m ÷ (ر.س3.3b - ر.س248m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, Arabian Cement has an ROCE of 6.4%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 5.9%.

Check out our latest analysis for Arabian Cement

roce
SASE:3010 Return on Capital Employed April 12th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Arabian Cement compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Arabian Cement here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Arabian Cement

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
  • Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
Weakness
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Saudi market.
Threat
  • Dividends are not covered by earnings and cashflows.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

There hasn't been much to report for Arabian Cement's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at Arabian Cement in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger. On top of that you'll notice that Arabian Cement has been paying out a large portion (99%) of earnings in the form of dividends to shareholders. If the company is in fact lacking growth opportunities, that's one of the viable alternatives for the money.

In Conclusion...

In summary, Arabian Cement isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Since the stock has gained an impressive 44% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.

On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for Arabian Cement you'll probably want to know about.

While Arabian Cement isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.