Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Najran Cement Company's (TADAWUL:3002) Share Price

SASE:3002
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.2x Najran Cement Company (TADAWUL:3002) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Saudi Arabia have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 62x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Najran Cement as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Najran Cement

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SASE:3002 Price Based on Past Earnings May 3rd 2021
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Najran Cement.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Najran Cement would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 279% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.2% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Najran Cement's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Najran Cement's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Najran Cement maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Najran Cement you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

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