Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden) Valuation
Is 1211 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 1211 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 1211 (SAR49.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR16.76)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 1211 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1211?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 1211's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س183.57b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 7.4x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 25.6x |
| PEG Ratio | 3.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 1211's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 79.6x | ||
1322 Al Masane Al Kobra Mining | 98.4x | n/a | ر.س5.4b |
2010 Saudi Basic Industries | 189.7x | 58.3% | ر.س247.5b |
2020 SABIC Agri-Nutrients | 15.4x | 3.2% | ر.س54.3b |
GMEXICO B Grupo México. de | 15x | 6.0% | Mex$819.0b |
1211 Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden) | 116.4x | 31.5% | ر.س183.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1211 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (116.4x) compared to the peer average (79.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 1211's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Metals and Mining Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1211 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (116.4x) compared to the Asian Metals and Mining industry average (19.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 1211's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 116.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 61.2x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1211 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (116.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س49.75 | ر.س34.46 -30.7% | 15.0% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س27.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س49.45 | ر.س34.02 -31.2% | 16.1% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س27.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س49.75 | ر.س32.43 -34.8% | 14.3% | ر.س40.00 | ر.س25.70 | n/a | 9 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س46.75 | ر.س32.66 -30.1% | 13.7% | ر.س40.00 | ر.س25.70 | n/a | 10 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س49.80 | ر.س33.11 -33.5% | 13.8% | ر.س40.00 | ر.س25.70 | n/a | 10 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س39.85 | ر.س32.82 -17.6% | 9.0% | ر.س35.70 | ر.س25.70 | n/a | 9 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س35.75 | ر.س33.94 -5.1% | 7.6% | ر.س36.20 | ر.س27.90 | n/a | 9 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س39.80 | ر.س34.22 -14.0% | 8.1% | ر.س37.17 | ر.س27.90 | n/a | 9 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س40.50 | ر.س33.78 -16.6% | 8.8% | ر.س37.17 | ر.س27.90 | n/a | 8 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س43.80 | ر.س34.32 -21.6% | 12.9% | ر.س44.33 | ر.س27.33 | n/a | 10 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س34.37 0% | 14.7% | ر.س44.33 | ر.س26.67 | n/a | 10 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س40.80 | ر.س36.69 -10.1% | 19.0% | ر.س46.67 | ر.س26.67 | n/a | 10 |
| May ’24 | ر.س46.00 | ر.س37.67 -18.1% | 16.9% | ر.س46.67 | ر.س26.67 | ر.س50.30 | 10 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س42.67 | ر.س37.79 -11.4% | 16.9% | ر.س46.67 | ر.س26.67 | ر.س49.45 | 10 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س42.60 | ر.س37.89 -11.0% | 17.1% | ر.س46.67 | ر.س26.67 | ر.س49.75 | 10 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س49.27 | ر.س38.66 -21.5% | 14.8% | ر.س46.67 | ر.س27.33 | ر.س46.75 | 10 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س44.40 | ر.س39.63 -10.8% | 20.5% | ر.س53.33 | ر.س22.67 | ر.س49.80 | 10 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س46.53 | ر.س40.40 -13.2% | 21.8% | ر.س53.33 | ر.س22.67 | ر.س39.85 | 9 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س50.27 | ر.س40.44 -19.6% | 21.8% | ر.س53.33 | ر.س22.67 | ر.س35.75 | 9 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س46.40 | ر.س40.68 -12.3% | 21.5% | ر.س53.33 | ر.س22.67 | ر.س39.80 | 9 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س49.00 | ر.س40.11 -18.1% | 21.1% | ر.س53.33 | ر.س22.67 | ر.س40.50 | 10 |
| Aug ’23 | ر.س37.93 | ر.س39.48 +4.1% | 20.1% | ر.س53.33 | ر.س22.67 | ر.س43.80 | 10 |
| Jul ’23 | ر.س33.23 | ر.س40.05 +20.5% | 20.5% | ر.س53.33 | ر.س22.67 | n/a | 10 |
| Jun ’23 | ر.س41.27 | ر.س42.99 +4.2% | 15.1% | ر.س55.00 | ر.س32.33 | ر.س40.80 | 9 |
| May ’23 | ر.س46.00 | ر.س43.79 -4.8% | 15.7% | ر.س55.00 | ر.س32.33 | ر.س46.00 | 9 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.