Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden)

SASE:1211 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س183.3b

Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden) Valuation

Is 1211 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1211 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1211 (SAR49.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR15.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1211 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1211?

Key metric: As 1211 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1211. This is calculated by dividing 1211's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1211's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47.4x
Earningsر.س3.87b
Market Capر.س183.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1211's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1211 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.1x
1322 Al Masane Al Kobra Mining
41.9x41.4%ر.س6.0b
2010 Saudi Basic Industries
80.7x53.3%ر.س199.5b
2020 SABIC Agri-Nutrients
15.4x3.0%ر.س51.5b
GMEXICO B Grupo México. de
10.4x5.9%Mex$772.3b
1211 Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden)
47.4x20.7%ر.س183.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1211 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the peer average (37.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1211's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Metals and Mining Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1211 47.4xIndustry Avg. 20.5xNo. of Companies87PE01632486480+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1211 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the Asian Metals and Mining industry average (20.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1211's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1211 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.4x
Fair PE Ratio40.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1211 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1211 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س49.75
ر.س46.32
-6.9%
20.0%ر.س60.00ر.س30.80n/a11
Dec ’25ر.س51.80
ر.س46.23
-10.8%
21.1%ر.س60.00ر.س30.50n/a10
Nov ’25ر.س56.40
ر.س42.16
-25.2%
17.9%ر.س55.00ر.س31.50n/a8
Oct ’25ر.س48.90
ر.س40.56
-17.1%
17.6%ر.س55.00ر.س31.50n/a8
Sep ’25ر.س42.30
ر.س37.19
-12.1%
12.2%ر.س45.00ر.س31.00n/a8
Aug ’25ر.س42.80
ر.س36.81
-14.0%
12.2%ر.س45.00ر.س31.50n/a8
Jul ’25ر.س42.45
ر.س35.42
-16.6%
15.4%ر.س45.00ر.س27.00n/a9
Jun ’25ر.س46.20
ر.س35.42
-23.3%
15.4%ر.س45.00ر.س27.00n/a9
May ’25ر.س50.30
ر.س34.13
-32.2%
16.0%ر.س45.00ر.س27.00n/a9
Apr ’25ر.س49.45
ر.س34.02
-31.2%
16.1%ر.س45.00ر.س27.00n/a9
Mar ’25ر.س49.75
ر.س32.43
-34.8%
14.3%ر.س40.00ر.س25.70n/a9
Feb ’25ر.س46.75
ر.س32.66
-30.1%
13.7%ر.س40.00ر.س25.70n/a10
Jan ’25ر.س49.80
ر.س33.11
-33.5%
13.8%ر.س40.00ر.س25.70n/a10
Dec ’24ر.س39.85
ر.س32.82
-17.6%
9.0%ر.س35.70ر.س25.70ر.س51.809
Nov ’24ر.س35.75
ر.س33.94
-5.1%
7.6%ر.س36.20ر.س27.90ر.س56.409
Oct ’24ر.س39.80
ر.س34.22
-14.0%
8.1%ر.س37.17ر.س27.90ر.س48.909
Sep ’24ر.س40.50
ر.س33.78
-16.6%
8.8%ر.س37.17ر.س27.90ر.س42.308
Aug ’24ر.س43.80
ر.س34.32
-21.6%
12.9%ر.س44.33ر.س27.33ر.س42.8010
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س34.37
0%
14.7%ر.س44.33ر.س26.67ر.س42.4510
Jun ’24ر.س40.80
ر.س36.69
-10.1%
19.0%ر.س46.67ر.س26.67ر.س46.2010
May ’24ر.س46.00
ر.س37.67
-18.1%
16.9%ر.س46.67ر.س26.67ر.س50.3010
Apr ’24ر.س42.67
ر.س37.79
-11.4%
16.9%ر.س46.67ر.س26.67ر.س49.4510
Mar ’24ر.س42.60
ر.س37.89
-11.0%
17.1%ر.س46.67ر.س26.67ر.س49.7510
Feb ’24ر.س49.27
ر.س38.66
-21.5%
14.8%ر.س46.67ر.س27.33ر.س46.7510
Jan ’24ر.س44.40
ر.س39.63
-10.8%
20.5%ر.س53.33ر.س22.67ر.س49.8010
Dec ’23ر.س46.53
ر.س40.40
-13.2%
21.8%ر.س53.33ر.س22.67ر.س39.859

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 23:06
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden) is covered by 23 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jassim Al-JubranAljazira Capital Company
Kais KriaaAlphaMena
Pritish DevassyAl Rajhi Capital