SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company

SASE:2020 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س53.3b

SABIC Agri-Nutrients Valuation

Is 2020 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2020 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2020 (SAR112.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR83.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2020 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2020?

Key metric: As 2020 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2020. This is calculated by dividing 2020's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2020's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16x
Earningsر.س3.35b
Market Capر.س53.32b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2020's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2020 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.2x
2223 Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company - Luberef
18.1x20.4%ر.س18.4b
2290 Yanbu National Petrochemical
44.6x27.8%ر.س21.3b
2310 Sahara International Petrochemical
31.5x35.9%ر.س17.8b
2250 Saudi Industrial Investment Group
66.8x30.3%ر.س13.3b
2020 SABIC Agri-Nutrients
16x3.0%ر.س53.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2020 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the peer average (40.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2020's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Chemicals Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2020 16.0xIndustry Avg. 22.9xNo. of Companies160PE01632486480+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2020 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the Asian Chemicals industry average (22.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2020's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2020 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16x
Fair PE Ratio23.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2020 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2020 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س112.60
ر.س129.91
+15.4%
7.8%ر.س155.00ر.س121.00n/a11
Nov ’25ر.س113.80
ر.س129.82
+14.1%
7.6%ر.س154.00ر.س121.00n/a11
Oct ’25ر.س121.00
ر.س129.73
+7.2%
7.6%ر.س154.00ر.س121.00n/a11
Sep ’25ر.س115.80
ر.س129.83
+12.1%
7.3%ر.س154.00ر.س121.00n/a12
Aug ’25ر.س116.60
ر.س131.69
+12.9%
7.5%ر.س154.00ر.س121.00n/a13
Jul ’25ر.س115.40
ر.س133.23
+15.5%
7.3%ر.س155.00ر.س121.00n/a13
Jun ’25ر.س106.00
ر.س134.00
+26.4%
7.7%ر.س159.00ر.س121.00n/a13
May ’25ر.س114.20
ر.س135.08
+18.3%
8.2%ر.س159.00ر.س121.00n/a13
Apr ’25ر.س119.80
ر.س139.29
+16.3%
6.6%ر.س159.00ر.س121.00n/a14
Mar ’25ر.س125.20
ر.س140.43
+12.2%
7.4%ر.س159.00ر.س121.00n/a13
Feb ’25ر.س127.00
ر.س141.97
+11.8%
6.5%ر.س159.00ر.س131.00n/a12
Jan ’25ر.س139.40
ر.س137.47
-1.4%
14.1%ر.س159.00ر.س80.00n/a12
Dec ’24ر.س137.60
ر.س139.10
+1.1%
15.3%ر.س160.00ر.س80.00n/a11
Nov ’24ر.س133.80
ر.س143.49
+7.2%
6.7%ر.س160.00ر.س131.00ر.س113.8012
Oct ’24ر.س134.80
ر.س143.41
+6.4%
6.3%ر.س158.00ر.س131.00ر.س121.0012
Sep ’24ر.س137.60
ر.س143.28
+4.1%
6.3%ر.س158.00ر.س131.00ر.س115.8012
Aug ’24ر.س142.20
ر.س141.87
-0.2%
7.4%ر.س158.00ر.س121.00ر.س116.6012
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س145.07
0%
9.2%ر.س165.00ر.س121.00ر.س115.4012
Jun ’24ر.س124.00
ر.س145.32
+17.2%
9.3%ر.س165.00ر.س121.00ر.س106.0012
May ’24ر.س131.80
ر.س148.45
+12.6%
10.9%ر.س176.50ر.س118.00ر.س114.2013
Apr ’24ر.س127.40
ر.س156.18
+22.6%
11.4%ر.س187.00ر.س126.00ر.س119.8013
Mar ’24ر.س129.60
ر.س158.03
+21.9%
11.9%ر.س187.00ر.س126.00ر.س125.2012
Feb ’24ر.س136.80
ر.س165.35
+20.9%
9.7%ر.س187.00ر.س142.00ر.س127.0011
Jan ’24ر.س146.40
ر.س171.87
+17.4%
12.5%ر.س220.00ر.س142.00ر.س139.4010
Dec ’23ر.س143.60
ر.س174.96
+21.8%
12.4%ر.س220.00ر.س142.00ر.س137.6010
Nov ’23ر.س158.40
ر.س179.66
+13.4%
10.1%ر.س220.00ر.س150.00ر.س133.8010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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