Yanbu National Petrochemical Valuation
Is 2290 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 2290 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 2290 (SAR42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR54.4)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 2290 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2290?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 2290's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س23.63b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 16.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 3.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 2290's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 105.2x | ||
2310 Sahara International Petrochemical | 30x | 24.3% | ر.س21.1b |
2223 Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company - Luberef | 19.4x | 14.9% | ر.س22.2b |
2330 Advanced Petrochemical | 192.9x | 81.4% | ر.س9.9b |
2060 National Industrialization | 178.3x | 31.1% | ر.س7.5b |
2290 Yanbu National Petrochemical | 130.2x | 37.6% | ر.س23.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2290 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (130.2x) compared to the peer average (105.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 2290's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Chemicals Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2290 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (130.2x) compared to the Asian Chemicals industry average (22x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 2290's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 130.2x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 43.2x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2290 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (130.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س42.00 | ر.س39.25 -6.5% | 10.3% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Sep ’25 | ر.س40.15 | ر.س39.25 -2.2% | 10.3% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 11 |
| Aug ’25 | ر.س39.85 | ر.س39.17 -1.7% | 11.2% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Jul ’25 | ر.س37.10 | ر.س39.86 +7.4% | 11.0% | ر.س45.92 | ر.س32.50 | n/a | 14 |
| Jun ’25 | ر.س36.20 | ر.س39.79 +9.9% | 11.2% | ر.س45.92 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 14 |
| May ’25 | ر.س38.65 | ر.س39.82 +3.0% | 11.1% | ر.س45.92 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س37.70 | ر.س41.07 +8.9% | 13.2% | ر.س48.50 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س37.45 | ر.س41.07 +9.7% | 13.2% | ر.س48.50 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س37.95 | ر.س41.14 +8.4% | 13.7% | ر.س48.50 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س38.10 | ر.س42.62 +11.9% | 12.1% | ر.س49.00 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س37.65 | ر.س43.04 +14.3% | 11.1% | ر.س49.00 | ر.س32.00 | n/a | 12 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س37.50 | ر.س43.69 +16.5% | 11.4% | ر.س51.00 | ر.س33.00 | n/a | 12 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س41.45 | ر.س44.66 +7.7% | 11.1% | ر.س51.00 | ر.س33.00 | n/a | 12 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س42.30 | ر.س44.76 +5.8% | 10.1% | ر.س51.00 | ر.س34.00 | ر.س40.15 | 12 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س45.25 | ر.س44.84 -0.9% | 9.9% | ر.س50.00 | ر.س34.00 | ر.س39.85 | 12 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س44.21 0% | 10.5% | ر.س50.00 | ر.س34.00 | ر.س37.10 | 13 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س42.50 | ر.س44.15 +3.9% | 10.5% | ر.س50.00 | ر.س34.00 | ر.س36.20 | 13 |
| May ’24 | ر.س44.15 | ر.س44.24 +0.2% | 9.2% | ر.س50.00 | ر.س35.00 | ر.س38.65 | 13 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س42.15 | ر.س43.78 +3.9% | 10.2% | ر.س50.00 | ر.س35.00 | ر.س37.70 | 13 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س42.05 | ر.س44.08 +4.8% | 10.9% | ر.س50.00 | ر.س35.00 | ر.س37.45 | 12 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س44.05 | ر.س43.98 -0.2% | 11.3% | ر.س50.00 | ر.س35.00 | ر.س37.95 | 11 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س41.40 | ر.س50.75 +22.6% | 18.4% | ر.س74.00 | ر.س38.00 | ر.س38.10 | 11 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س41.10 | ر.س54.28 +32.1% | 16.7% | ر.س74.00 | ر.س42.00 | ر.س37.65 | 11 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س44.35 | ر.س57.06 +28.7% | 14.5% | ر.س74.00 | ر.س45.00 | ر.س37.50 | 11 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س46.30 | ر.س58.69 +26.8% | 11.7% | ر.س74.00 | ر.س50.00 | ر.س41.45 | 11 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س49.90 | ر.س58.69 +17.6% | 11.7% | ر.س74.00 | ر.س50.00 | ر.س42.30 | 11 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.