Yanbu National Petrochemical Company

SASE:2290 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س18.4b

Yanbu National Petrochemical Valuation

Is 2290 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2290 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ر.س41.69
Fair Value
21.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 2290 (SAR32.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR41.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2290 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2290?

Key metric: As 2290 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2290. This is calculated by dividing 2290's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2290's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio44.1x
Earningsر.س420.33m
Market Capر.س18.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2290's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2290 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.7x
2310 Sahara International Petrochemical
32.2x35.6%ر.س13.8b
2223 Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company - Luberef
17.3x-1.0%ر.س16.8b
2250 Saudi Industrial Investment Group
56.7x33.4%ر.س11.4b
2060 National Industrialization
60.4x39.5%ر.س6.2b
2290 Yanbu National Petrochemical
44.1x23.4%ر.س18.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2290 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.1x) compared to the peer average (41.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2290's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Chemicals Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2290 44.1xIndustry Avg. 20.8xNo. of Companies186PE01632486480+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2290 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.1x) compared to the Asian Chemicals industry average (20.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2290's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2290 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio44.1x
Fair PE Ratio31.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2290 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2290 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س32.95
ر.س36.60
+11.1%
11.7%ر.س42.60ر.س29.00n/a8
Apr ’26ر.س34.70
ر.س37.10
+6.9%
10.1%ر.س42.60ر.س31.00n/a8
Mar ’26ر.س34.95
ر.س37.16
+6.3%
9.7%ر.س42.60ر.س31.00n/a9
Feb ’26ر.س37.50
ر.س37.16
-0.9%
9.7%ر.س42.60ر.س31.00n/a9
Jan ’26ر.س37.70
ر.س39.47
+4.7%
9.9%ر.س47.00ر.س34.10n/a9
Dec ’25ر.س37.60
ر.س39.58
+5.3%
10.1%ر.س47.00ر.س34.10n/a9
Nov ’25ر.س39.80
ر.س40.57
+1.9%
9.7%ر.س47.00ر.س34.20n/a11
Oct ’25ر.س42.70
ر.س39.25
-8.1%
10.3%ر.س45.00ر.س32.00n/a11
Sep ’25ر.س40.15
ر.س39.25
-2.2%
10.3%ر.س45.00ر.س32.00n/a11
Aug ’25ر.س39.85
ر.س39.17
-1.7%
11.2%ر.س45.00ر.س32.00n/a13
Jul ’25ر.س37.10
ر.س39.86
+7.4%
11.0%ر.س45.92ر.س32.50n/a14
Jun ’25ر.س36.20
ر.س39.79
+9.9%
11.2%ر.س45.92ر.س32.00n/a14
May ’25ر.س38.65
ر.س39.82
+3.0%
11.1%ر.س45.92ر.س32.00n/a14
Apr ’25ر.س37.70
ر.س41.07
+8.9%
13.2%ر.س48.50ر.س32.00ر.س34.7014
Mar ’25ر.س37.45
ر.س41.07
+9.7%
13.2%ر.س48.50ر.س32.00ر.س34.9514
Feb ’25ر.س37.95
ر.س41.14
+8.4%
13.7%ر.س48.50ر.س32.00ر.س37.5013
Jan ’25ر.س38.10
ر.س42.62
+11.9%
12.1%ر.س49.00ر.س32.00ر.س37.7013
Dec ’24ر.س37.65
ر.س43.04
+14.3%
11.1%ر.س49.00ر.س32.00ر.س37.6012
Nov ’24ر.س37.50
ر.س43.69
+16.5%
11.4%ر.س51.00ر.س33.00ر.س39.8012
Oct ’24ر.س41.45
ر.س44.66
+7.7%
11.1%ر.س51.00ر.س33.00ر.س42.7012
Sep ’24ر.س42.30
ر.س44.76
+5.8%
10.1%ر.س51.00ر.س34.00ر.س40.1512
Aug ’24ر.س45.25
ر.س44.84
-0.9%
9.9%ر.س50.00ر.س34.00ر.س39.8512
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س44.21
0%
10.5%ر.س50.00ر.س34.00ر.س37.1013
Jun ’24ر.س42.50
ر.س44.15
+3.9%
10.5%ر.س50.00ر.س34.00ر.س36.2013
May ’24ر.س44.15
ر.س44.24
+0.2%
9.2%ر.س50.00ر.س35.00ر.س38.6513
Apr ’24ر.س42.15
ر.س43.78
+3.9%
10.2%ر.س50.00ر.س35.00ر.س37.7013
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
ر.س36.60
Fair Value
10.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/22 22:30
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/22 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Yanbu National Petrochemical Company is covered by 25 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullAlembic Global Advisors
Jassim Al-JubranAljazira Capital Company
Mazen Al-SudairiAl Rajhi Capital