Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V.

BMV:GMEXICO B Stock Report

Market Cap: Mex$799.6b

Grupo México. de Valuation

Is GMEXICO B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GMEXICO B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GMEXICO B (MX$102.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (MX$122.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GMEXICO B is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GMEXICO B?

Key metric: As GMEXICO B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GMEXICO B. This is calculated by dividing GMEXICO B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GMEXICO B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.8x
EarningsUS$3.60b
Market CapUS$39.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GMEXICO B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GMEXICO B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.8x
PE&OLES * Industrias Peñoles. de
70.9xn/aMex$121.5b
CEMEX CPO CEMEX. de
27.8x31.1%Mex$164.2b
1211 Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden)
51.5x24.1%ر.س199.0b
ICH B Industrias CH S. A. B. de C. V
9xn/aMex$75.5b
GMEXICO B Grupo México. de
10.8x6.1%Mex$799.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GMEXICO B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the peer average (39.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GMEXICO B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GMEXICO B 10.8xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GMEXICO B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (8.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GMEXICO B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GMEXICO B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.8x
Fair PE Ratio13.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GMEXICO B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GMEXICO B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$102.71
Mex$121.08
+17.9%
21.2%Mex$160.67Mex$48.50n/a16
Nov ’25Mex$104.26
Mex$121.08
+16.1%
21.2%Mex$160.67Mex$48.50n/a16
Oct ’25Mex$109.77
Mex$120.53
+9.8%
22.2%Mex$167.93Mex$47.13n/a16
Sep ’25Mex$100.78
Mex$122.03
+21.1%
22.7%Mex$171.41Mex$48.10n/a16
Aug ’25Mex$100.89
Mex$114.10
+13.1%
23.3%Mex$160.54Mex$45.05n/a16
Jul ’25Mex$100.84
Mex$112.08
+11.2%
22.3%Mex$156.41Mex$44.84n/a15
Jun ’25Mex$104.88
Mex$103.37
-1.4%
21.5%Mex$133.39Mex$41.52n/a15
May ’25Mex$105.85
Mex$102.24
-3.4%
22.0%Mex$133.56Mex$41.57n/a15
Apr ’25Mex$99.89
Mex$95.89
-4.0%
23.4%Mex$130.57Mex$40.47n/a16
Mar ’25Mex$83.16
Mex$94.49
+13.6%
22.8%Mex$135.21Mex$41.90n/a16
Feb ’25Mex$91.05
Mex$91.76
+0.8%
22.0%Mex$131.84Mex$42.07n/a15
Jan ’25Mex$94.18
Mex$89.82
-4.6%
22.0%Mex$130.38Mex$41.61n/a15
Dec ’24Mex$79.36
Mex$88.37
+11.3%
21.3%Mex$131.64Mex$42.01n/a16
Nov ’24Mex$73.60
Mex$94.61
+28.5%
23.3%Mex$140.25Mex$44.76Mex$104.2616
Oct ’24Mex$82.49
Mex$96.72
+17.2%
23.0%Mex$146.42Mex$42.58Mex$109.7717
Sep ’24Mex$82.86
Mex$91.30
+10.2%
22.2%Mex$141.10Mex$41.04Mex$100.7818
Aug ’24Mex$85.20
Mex$90.94
+6.7%
22.8%Mex$141.63Mex$41.19Mex$100.8917
Jul ’24Mex$82.41
Mex$89.59
+8.7%
21.3%Mex$140.02Mex$41.72Mex$100.8419
Jun ’24Mex$82.14
Mex$91.12
+10.9%
19.9%Mex$132.33Mex$43.59Mex$104.8819
May ’24Mex$88.41
Mex$89.91
+1.7%
20.1%Mex$133.36Mex$43.92Mex$105.8519
Apr ’24Mex$85.33
Mex$86.26
+1.1%
19.8%Mex$134.19Mex$44.20Mex$99.8918
Mar ’24Mex$85.55
Mex$85.34
-0.2%
19.8%Mex$134.27Mex$44.23Mex$83.1619
Feb ’24Mex$84.63
Mex$85.18
+0.7%
19.6%Mex$132.08Mex$45.49Mex$91.0519
Jan ’24Mex$68.41
Mex$85.65
+25.2%
21.5%Mex$139.34Mex$47.99Mex$94.1819
Dec ’23Mex$80.63
Mex$84.15
+4.4%
21.4%Mex$135.38Mex$47.18Mex$79.3619
Nov ’23Mex$73.01
Mex$85.51
+17.1%
22.5%Mex$138.90Mex$48.41Mex$73.6019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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