Stock Analysis

Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's (TADAWUL:1202) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

SASE:1202
Source: Shutterstock

Most readers would already be aware that Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's (TADAWUL:1202) stock increased significantly by 23% over the past month. However, we decided to pay close attention to its weak financials as we are doubtful that the current momentum will keep up, given the scenario. Specifically, we decided to study Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper is:

2.6% = ر.س19m ÷ ر.س747m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SAR1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SAR0.03 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

It is hard to argue that Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.7%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 20% seen by Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

That being said, we compared Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 9.0% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:1202 Past Earnings Growth November 30th 2020

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

Summary

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper. As a result of its low ROE and lack of mich reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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