Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Dallah Healthcare (TADAWUL:4004)

SASE:4004
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Dallah Healthcare (TADAWUL:4004), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Dallah Healthcare is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = ر.س418m ÷ (ر.س4.9b - ر.س885m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, Dallah Healthcare has an ROCE of 10%. In isolation, that's a pretty standard return but against the Healthcare industry average of 14%, it's not as good.

Check out our latest analysis for Dallah Healthcare

roce
SASE:4004 Return on Capital Employed April 17th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Dallah Healthcare's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Dallah Healthcare here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Dallah Healthcare

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Healthcare industry.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Healthcare market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Saudi market.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What Can We Tell From Dallah Healthcare's ROCE Trend?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Dallah Healthcare doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 14% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

In Conclusion...

While returns have fallen for Dallah Healthcare in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 155% to shareholders in the last five years. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.

One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with Dallah Healthcare and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.