Stock Analysis

Should You Use Halwani Bros' (TADAWUL:6001) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

SASE:6001
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Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. This article will consider whether Halwani Bros' (TADAWUL:6001) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

We like the fact that Halwani Bros made a profit of ر.س85.3m on its revenue of ر.س1.05b, in the last year.

See our latest analysis for Halwani Bros

earnings-and-revenue-history
SASE:6001 Earnings and Revenue History February 16th 2021

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. As a result, we think it's well worth considering what Halwani Bros' cashflow (when compared to its earnings) can tell us about the nature of its statutory profit. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Examining Cashflow Against Halwani Bros' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Halwani Bros has an accrual ratio of -0.14 for the year to September 2020. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of ر.س180m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of ر.س85.3m. Halwani Bros shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Our Take On Halwani Bros' Profit Performance

Halwani Bros' accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Halwani Bros' earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Halwani Bros at this point in time. While conducting our analysis, we found that Halwani Bros has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these bad boys.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Halwani Bros' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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