Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Valuation
Is 4200 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4200 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4200 (SAR174.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR59.81)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4200 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4200?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4200's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س12.92b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 29.4x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 4200's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 64.3x | ||
2030 Saudi Arabian Refineries | 170.6x | n/a | ر.س1.3b |
4030 National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia | 12.5x | n/a | ر.س20.0b |
2382 ADES Holding | 50.8x | 21.7% | ر.س22.0b |
2381 Arabian Drilling | 23.5x | 11.5% | ر.س14.0b |
4200 Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services | 46.7x | 17.1% | ر.س12.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4200 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x) compared to the peer average (64.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4200's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (10.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4200's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 46.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 25.9x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4200 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س174.80 | ر.س141.36 -19.1% | 14.8% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س100.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س161.80 | ر.س141.36 -12.6% | 14.8% | ر.س173.00 | ر.س100.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س180.40 | ر.س142.14 -21.2% | 15.6% | ر.س180.00 | ر.س100.00 | n/a | 9 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س165.40 | ر.س134.74 -18.5% | 16.8% | ر.س180.00 | ر.س100.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س181.40 | ر.س126.68 -30.2% | 10.5% | ر.س142.00 | ر.س100.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س129.20 | ر.س126.37 -2.2% | 10.5% | ر.س142.00 | ر.س100.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س115.20 | ر.س124.49 +8.1% | 9.2% | ر.س137.00 | ر.س100.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س138.40 | ر.س126.58 -8.5% | 13.0% | ر.س148.00 | ر.س94.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س136.00 | ر.س126.58 -6.9% | 13.0% | ر.س148.00 | ر.س94.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س117.40 | ر.س125.30 +6.7% | 14.1% | ر.س148.00 | ر.س94.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س115.25 0% | 17.4% | ر.س148.00 | ر.س94.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س111.20 | ر.س103.75 -6.7% | 6.4% | ر.س112.00 | ر.س94.00 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’24 | ر.س101.80 | ر.س97.25 -4.5% | 8.2% | ر.س107.00 | ر.س86.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س94.90 | ر.س94.75 -0.2% | 7.8% | ر.س102.00 | ر.س83.00 | ر.س161.80 | 4 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س84.90 | ر.س95.00 +11.9% | 9.0% | ر.س102.00 | ر.س83.00 | ر.س180.40 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س79.60 | ر.س90.25 +13.4% | 7.5% | ر.س100.00 | ر.س83.00 | ر.س165.40 | 4 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س74.10 | ر.س90.25 +21.8% | 7.5% | ر.س100.00 | ر.س83.00 | ر.س181.40 | 4 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س73.50 | ر.س91.00 +23.8% | 6.6% | ر.س100.00 | ر.س85.00 | ر.س129.20 | 4 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س71.40 | ر.س90.76 +27.1% | 6.0% | ر.س100.00 | ر.س85.00 | ر.س115.20 | 5 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س67.80 | ر.س88.76 +30.9% | 5.8% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س81.00 | ر.س138.40 | 5 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س69.00 | ر.س88.76 +28.6% | 5.8% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س81.00 | ر.س136.00 | 5 |
| Aug ’23 | ر.س76.00 | ر.س89.76 +18.1% | 5.3% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س81.00 | ر.س117.40 | 5 |
| Jul ’23 | ر.س66.70 | ر.س89.76 +34.6% | 5.3% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س81.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’23 | ر.س77.10 | ر.س89.76 +16.4% | 5.3% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س81.00 | ر.س111.20 | 5 |
| May ’23 | ر.س78.90 | ر.س86.63 +9.8% | 9.5% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س71.00 | ر.س101.80 | 6 |
| Apr ’23 | ر.س77.70 | ر.س86.63 +11.5% | 9.5% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س71.00 | ر.س94.90 | 6 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.