Stock Analysis

Is Kaluga Power Sale Company (MCX:KLSB) A Risky Investment?

MISX:KLSB
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Kaluga Power Sale Company Public Joint-Stock Company (MCX:KLSB) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kaluga Power Sale Company

How Much Debt Does Kaluga Power Sale Company Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 Kaluga Power Sale Company had debt of ₽4.17b, up from ₽3.52b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₽732.4m, its net debt is less, at about ₽3.44b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
MISX:KLSB Debt to Equity History October 10th 2021

How Healthy Is Kaluga Power Sale Company's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kaluga Power Sale Company had liabilities of ₽2.39b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₽3.34b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₽732.4m as well as receivables valued at ₽1.99b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₽3.01b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₽967.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Kaluga Power Sale Company would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.3 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.4 hit our confidence in Kaluga Power Sale Company like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. More concerning, Kaluga Power Sale Company saw its EBIT drop by 4.4% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kaluga Power Sale Company will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Kaluga Power Sale Company recorded free cash flow of 47% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Kaluga Power Sale Company's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Kaluga Power Sale Company has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Kaluga Power Sale Company (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kaluga Power Sale Company might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About MISX:KLSB

Kaluga Power Sale Company

Kaluga Power Sale Company Public Joint-Stock Company engages in the production, wholesale, and retail of electrical energy in the Kaluga region, Russia.

Slightly overvalued with questionable track record.