Stock Analysis

Shareholders of Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System (MCX:FEES) Must Be Delighted With Their 467% Total Return

MISX:FEES
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When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For example, the Public Joint-Stock Company Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System (MCX:FEES) share price has soared 267% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. On top of that, the share price is up 14% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 12% in the last three months.

Check out our latest analysis for Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the five years of share price growth, Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here. Since the company was unprofitable five years ago, but not three years ago, it's worth taking a look at the returns in the last three years, too. We can see that the Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System share price is up 39% in the last three years. In the same period, EPS is up 6.9% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 11% average annual increase in the share price over three years. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
MISX:FEES Earnings Per Share Growth December 30th 2020

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System, it has a TSR of 467% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 23% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 41% a year, is even better. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System you should know about.

Of course Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on RU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:FEES

Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System

Public Joint-Stock Company Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System develops, operates, and manages the Unified National Electric Grid in Russia.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.