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Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System (MCX:FEES) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Public Joint-Stock Company Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System (MCX:FEES) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System
How Much Debt Does Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System had ₽229.0b in debt in June 2021; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₽74.6b in cash, and so its net debt is ₽154.4b.
How Healthy Is Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System had liabilities of ₽93.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₽320.4b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₽74.6b and ₽39.5b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₽300.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₽247.7b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System's net debt is only 1.2 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 396 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. But the bad news is that Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System has seen its EBIT plunge 15% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System recorded free cash flow of 38% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
To be frank both Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System's level of total liabilities and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. It's also worth noting that Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:FEES
Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System
Public Joint-Stock Company Federal Grid Company of Unified Energy System develops, operates, and manages the Unified National Electric Grid in Russia.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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