Stock Analysis

At ₽38.75, Is It Time To Put Public Joint Stock Company Globaltruck Management (MCX:GTRK) On Your Watch List?

MISX:GTRK
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Public Joint Stock Company Globaltruck Management (MCX:GTRK), is not the largest company out there, but it saw its share price hover around a small range of ₽38.25 to ₽42.05 over the last few weeks. But is this actually reflective of the share value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Globaltruck Management’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Globaltruck Management

Is Globaltruck Management still cheap?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 9.36x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 13.11x, which means if you buy Globaltruck Management today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Globaltruck Management should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Globaltruck Management’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Globaltruck Management generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
MISX:GTRK Earnings and Revenue Growth March 11th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Globaltruck Management's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? GTRK’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at GTRK? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on GTRK, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for GTRK, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Globaltruck Management (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:GTRK

Globaltruck Management

Public Joint Stock Company Globaltruck Management provides full truck load trucking services in Russia and internationally.

Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.