When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. In light of that, from a first glance at Buryatzoloto (MCX:BRZL), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Buryatzoloto:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = ₽2.1b ÷ (₽17b - ₽603m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, Buryatzoloto has an ROCE of 12%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 11% generated by the Metals and Mining industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Buryatzoloto
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Buryatzoloto has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
So How Is Buryatzoloto's ROCE Trending?
There is reason to be cautious about Buryatzoloto, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 19% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Buryatzoloto to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Bottom Line On Buryatzoloto's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Buryatzoloto is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 8.8% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
Buryatzoloto does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious...
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About MISX:BRZL
Buryatzoloto
Public Joint Stock Company Buryatzoloto engages in the exploration and production of gold properties in the Republic of Buryatia.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.