Stock Analysis

Does Oil Company Bashneft (MCX:BANE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

MISX:BANE
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Public Joint Stock Oil Company Bashneft (MCX:BANE) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Oil Company Bashneft

How Much Debt Does Oil Company Bashneft Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Oil Company Bashneft had debt of ₽127.2b, up from ₽120.6b in one year. However, it does have ₽3.75b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₽123.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
MISX:BANE Debt to Equity History January 23rd 2021

How Strong Is Oil Company Bashneft's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Oil Company Bashneft had liabilities of ₽117.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₽187.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₽3.75b as well as receivables valued at ₽164.1b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₽137.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Oil Company Bashneft has a market capitalization of ₽287.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Even though Oil Company Bashneft's debt is only 2.1, its interest cover is really very low at 1.3. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Shareholders should be aware that Oil Company Bashneft's EBIT was down 93% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Oil Company Bashneft can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Oil Company Bashneft recorded free cash flow of 43% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Oil Company Bashneft's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is not so bad. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Oil Company Bashneft's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Oil Company Bashneft that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:BANE

Oil Company Bashneft

Public Joint Stock Oil Company Bashneft engages in the development and implementation, exploration, production, and refining of oil reserves in Russia.

Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.