Stock Analysis

We're Hopeful That Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d (BELEX:AERO) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

BELEX:AERO
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d (BELEX:AERO) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

View our latest analysis for Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d

How Long Is Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. In September 2021, Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d had дин656m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through дин204m. Therefore, from September 2021 it had 3.2 years of cash runway. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BELEX:AERO Debt to Equity History March 8th 2022

How Is Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Although Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d reported revenue of дин484m last year, it didn't actually have any revenue from operations. That means we consider it a pre-revenue business, and we will focus our growth analysis on cash burn, for now. Its cash burn positively exploded in the last year, up 1,144%. With that kind of spending growth its cash runway will shorten quickly, as it simultaneously uses its cash while increasing the burn rate. Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

Can Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d Raise More Cash Easily?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of дин45b, Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d's дин204m in cash burn equates to about 0.5% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

So, Should We Worry About Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d's Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d's cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although we do find its increasing cash burn to be a bit of a negative, once we consider the other metrics mentioned in this article together, the overall picture is one we are comfortable with. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

Of course Aerodrom Nikola Tesla a.d may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.