Stock Analysis

Gosa Fom a.d. (BELEX:GFOM) Stocks Shoot Up 32% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

BELEX:GFOM
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Gosa Fom a.d. (BELEX:GFOM) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. The last month tops off a massive increase of 166% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, Gosa Fom a.d's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Serbia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 8x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Gosa Fom a.d has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Gosa Fom a.d

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BELEX:GFOM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 3rd 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Gosa Fom a.d, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Gosa Fom a.d would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 47% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 546% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why Gosa Fom a.d is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.

The Bottom Line On Gosa Fom a.d's P/E

Gosa Fom a.d's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Gosa Fom a.d revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Gosa Fom a.d that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.