Stock Analysis

SOCEP (BVB:SOCP) jumps 14% this week, though earnings growth is still tracking behind five-year shareholder returns

BVB:SOCP
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When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For example, the SOCEP S.A. (BVB:SOCP) share price has soared 253% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. In more good news, the share price has risen 15% in thirty days. We note that SOCEP reported its financial results recently; luckily, you can catch up on the latest revenue and profit numbers in our company report.

Since the stock has added RON43m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

View our latest analysis for SOCEP

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, SOCEP achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 41% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 29% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 6.66.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
BVB:SOCP Earnings Per Share Growth June 1st 2023

Dive deeper into SOCEP's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of SOCEP's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for SOCEP the TSR over the last 5 years was 311%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that SOCEP has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 72% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 33%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand SOCEP better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for SOCEP that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Romanian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SOCEP is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.