Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Bittnet Systems SA (BVB:BNET) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Bittnet Systems Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2020 Bittnet Systems had debt of RON36.1m, up from RON31.7m in one year. However, it also had RON26.1m in cash, and so its net debt is RON9.99m.
How Healthy Is Bittnet Systems's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Bittnet Systems had liabilities of RON42.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RON32.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of RON26.1m and RON37.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling RON12.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, Bittnet Systems has a market capitalization of RON160.3m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Bittnet Systems has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.7, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.5. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. We also note that Bittnet Systems improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive RON4.9m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Bittnet Systems can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Bittnet Systems actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
Bittnet Systems's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Bittnet Systems can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Bittnet Systems (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About BVB:BNET
Bittnet Systems
Provides IT integration and training services in Romania.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.