Stock Analysis

Is Antibiotice (BVB:ATB) A Risky Investment?

BVB:ATB
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Antibiotice S.A. (BVB:ATB) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Antibiotice

What Is Antibiotice's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Antibiotice had RON165.0m of debt in March 2021, down from RON188.5m, one year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BVB:ATB Debt to Equity History June 9th 2021

A Look At Antibiotice's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Antibiotice had liabilities of RON178.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of RON99.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of RON907.1k and RON236.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total RON39.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Antibiotice has a market capitalization of RON373.3m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Antibiotice has net debt to EBITDA of 2.8 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. But the high interest coverage of 8.4 suggests it can easily service that debt. Unfortunately, Antibiotice saw its EBIT slide 6.3% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Antibiotice will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Antibiotice burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Antibiotice's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Antibiotice is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Antibiotice you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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