Stock Analysis

Alro (BVB:ALR) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

BVB:ALR
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There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Alro (BVB:ALR) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Alro is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.075 = RON166m ÷ (RON2.8b - RON595m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).

So, Alro has an ROCE of 7.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 13%.

See our latest analysis for Alro

roce
BVB:ALR Return on Capital Employed December 23rd 2021

In the above chart we have measured Alro's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Alro here for free.

So How Is Alro's ROCE Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Alro, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 9.8%, but since then they've fallen to 7.5%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

On a related note, Alro has decreased its current liabilities to 21% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

What We Can Learn From Alro's ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Alro. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 119% return over the last five years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.

One final note, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Alro (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored) .

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.