Stock Analysis

SNGN Romgaz's (BVB:SNG) three-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

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BVB:SNG
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Buying a low-cost index fund will get you the average market return. But across the board there are plenty of stocks that underperform the market. That's what has happened with the SNGN Romgaz SA (BVB:SNG) share price. It's up 54% over three years, but that is below the market return. Zooming in, the stock is up a respectable 7.2% in the last year.

Although SNGN Romgaz has shed RON886m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

See our latest analysis for SNGN Romgaz

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

SNGN Romgaz was able to grow its EPS at 33% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 15% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 6.09 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
BVB:SNG Earnings Per Share Growth March 14th 2023

It is of course excellent to see how SNGN Romgaz has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at SNGN Romgaz's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of SNGN Romgaz, it has a TSR of 85% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that SNGN Romgaz shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 16% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with SNGN Romgaz .

Of course SNGN Romgaz may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on RO exchanges.

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